Reports

2022-12-19

Daily Market Monitor 19 -12-2022

Tadawul Review:

Tadawul All-Share Index (TASI) ended its three-day winning streak and fell -39 points (-0.4%) on Sunday, closing at 10,252 levels. TASI index had started the session negatively and continued its fluctuations between gains and losses in the index, as the TASI was trading in a range of 83 points. TASI reached its intraday high in the first hour of trading, achieving ‎‎+26 points from the previous close, while it reached its intraday low at the end of the last hour of trading, down by -‎‎56 points from the previous close. In general, 10 out of 20 sectors closed in the green zone, while 102 shares rose and ‎‎96 fell. Banks (-0.6%), Energy (-0.6%), and Utilities (-0.9%) sectors were the major drags on the index and contributed a total of -28 points. Stocks-wise, Aramco (-0.6%), Riyad Bank ‎‎(-2.5%), and Saudi British Bank (-2.1%) pulled the index down the most. The trading activity also witnessed a decline in the volume and value of trading by 49% and 57%, respectively, to reach 117mn shares and SAR2.9bn. The index is likely to move side-ways in absence of any major trigger.

 

 

Market Wrap International:

The preceding week was all about surprises on monetary policy and the guidance on future rate path. The central banks’ decision last week has effectively dashed hopes of a pivot in interest rate and lower peak. The impact of surprises was reverberated across all asset classes and the region both, in particular in the last three sessions. This is the backdrop that awaits investors for next week. Cautiousness may continue to remain a dominant theme in near-term even after a steep price reaction to surprise. For the U.S market, Personal Consumption Expenditure Index, a Fed preferred gauge for inflation, is due next week and will likely highlight the impact of policy measures on the level of inflation. Other important data next week relates to housing (new starts, building permits, and home sales) which investors will closely track for further signs of easing of demand.

In Europe, the comments from ECB and BOE in the post rate hike decisions has effectively raised expectations of more rate hikes, increasing the possibility of deeper and prolonged economic slow-down in the region. The investors’ sentiment will continue to be weighed down by the new guidance in near-term.

In Asia, all eyes will be on the Bank of Japan which will announce its decision on interest rate this week. The latest comments by central banks and level of interest rates in developed economies have increased pressure on BoJ to abandon its super accommodative policy rates. Updates on COVID-19 infections and decisions for economic re-opening will be another important theme to track in the region.

Daily Market Monitor 19 -12-2022