Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) faced a major downside volatility on the first trading session of the week and dropped by 191 points (-1.63%) to close at 11,566 levels. Sunday's session was affected by the volatility and decline of global markets over the weekend and stoked by fears of aggressive increase in interest rate. The index started the session on the muted note, and started to gradually decline. In general, all 20 sectors closed in the red while all stocks declined, except for 8 that rose. The decline was led by the Banks sector (-1.6%), followed by Materials (-2%), and Food & Beverages (3.6%). Altogether, the aforementioned sectors contributed to the decline of the index by 117 points. Amongst stocks, Al Rajhi Bank (-2.1%), Banque Saudi Fransi (-4%), and Maaden Company (-3.3%) stocks pulled the index down the most. Trading activity also witnessed a decrease in the volume and value of trading of -15% and -22%, respectively, to reach 115mn shares and SAR3.8bn. The index may take a cue from early morning trading. Overall, the index is likely to move sideways at current levels.
The global equity markets are set to enter a crucial period with many important monetary policy decisions and data points due next week. The result season for Sep-end will also kickstart. All eyes will be on the minutes of the FOMC meeting (due on Wed) and the release of CPI data in the U.S (due on Thursday). Consumer Confidence Index (preliminary reading) and retail sales data will also be published this week. The data may reinforce the market view of “higher for longer” interest rate.
In Europe, important data points include GDP growth data, unemployment and in the U.K and Industrial production data in Euro region. The central bank officials for both ECB and U.K are also due to speak next week. The data points in the region, along with the outlook on the Fed’s action, will determine the path of ECB’s next rate hike decision in Oct-22(current consensus expectations are for 75bps hike).
In Asia, investors will likely respond to heightened volatility and the rise of yields in the U.S over the weekend. Chinese markets will resume trading next week following a week-long suspension. CPI data in China, PoBC decision on one-year interest rate, trade data are some of the important event/data points in China due next week. Current Account and PPI data are due in Japan. Focus next week will likely remain on the currency and bond yields in the region.