Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) remained flat on Sunday, decreasing by just 16 points (-0.1%) to close at the 11,406 level. The index opened the session at 11,440, slightly higher than the previous closing level (+18 points) and traded around its previous close in the range of 137 points throughout the session. In general, 13 out of 20 sectors closed in the red zone, while 83 stocks rose and 116 fell. Energy (-1.1%), Utilities (-1.7%), and Materials (-0.1%) sectors were the major drags on the index. Stocks-wise, Al Rajhi Bank (+0.5%), Saudi British Bank (+1.6%), and Jabal Omar (+2.3%) contributed the most to the index. Trading activity also witnessed a drop in the volume and value of trading by 13% and 19%, respectively, to reach 99mn shares and SAR3.2bn (lowest since April-2020). The index is unlikely to show any change in its current pattern of trading in a range in near-term.
Following an eventful last week, the global equity indices may look to find footing in the midst of acceleration of earnings announcement for Sep-end quarter. The focus is likely to shift to ongoing fiscal policy nervousness in the U.K and the outcome of the meeting of China Communist Party. In the U.S, the CPI data has almost cemented another 75bps hike in Fed’s policy rate decision due in early Nov-22. Treasury yields have accordingly adjusted to show higher likelihood of the same action. Housing market and business confidence survey data seem crucial for next week. Result season could turn out to be a source of major excitement for the market.
In Europe, U.K is set to release CPI data next week with a higher probability of a double-digit inflation print for Sep. Investors are looking for clarity on the financing plans for the fiscal package announced by a new government in the UK. Both ECB (end Oct) and BOE (Nov) are likely to announce monetary policy soon where investors are expecting jumbo rate hikes.
In Asia, CPI in Japan, 3Q GDP estimate and rate decision in China are important events due next week. The investors will also keenly await the result of the CPP where the congress, besides electing a new leader for the next five-year term, may set a new tone to China’s existing economic and foreign policies. With Yes coming close to the 150 mark and the latest statement from the central bank chief, the investors will also look for any possible intervention to stabilize the currency.